BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Estherville Lincoln Central

Class: 3A Class Rank: 61 Conference: (0-16) Overall: (2-20) Overall Strength =   68.52

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 12/09/2005 Away    L *  71.98  52   64   3A   37 ( 8-15) Spencer                 2.63    -14.63                      
  2 12/13/2005 Away    L *  56.80  33   76   2A   10 (21- 4) Emmetsburg            -12.55 *  -30.45                      
  3 12/16/2005 Home    L *  68.12  47   69   3A   13 (13- 9) LeMars                 -1.23    -20.77                      
  4 12/17/2005 Away    L    61.48  36   73   3A   10 (21- 2) Forest City            -7.88 *  -29.12                      
  5 12/20/2005 Away    W    71.40  57   55   2A   95 ( 7-15) North Iowa              2.05     -0.05  was 12/02/2005 now 12/20/2005
  6 12/22/2005 Home    W    88.94  68   50   1A   44 (15- 8) Armstrong-Ringsted     19.58     -1.58                      
  7 01/03/2006 Away    L *  59.02  57   77   3A   49 ( 5-16) Spirit Lake           -10.33     -9.67                      
  8 01/06/2006 Away    L *  77.31  50   56   3A   40 ( 6-16) Cherokee Washington     7.95    -13.95                      
  9 01/13/2006 Home    L *  95.61  72   79   2A    2 (20- 4) Western Christian      26.26 *  -33.26                      
 10 01/17/2006 Home    L *  79.35  44   61   2A    9 (19- 6) Sheldon                10.00 *  -27.00                      
 11 01/20/2006 Away    L *  59.62  53   81   3A   25 (11-12) Storm Lake             -9.73    -18.27                      
 12 01/27/2006 Home    L *  67.00  34   63   2A   10 (21- 4) Emmetsburg             -2.35 *  -26.65                      
 13 01/31/2006 Away    L *  68.93  37   62   3A   13 (13- 9) LeMars                 -0.43    -24.57                      
 14 02/04/2006 Away    L    69.35  47   72   EX   33 ( 1- 0) Jackson County Centr    0.00 *  -25.00                      
 15 02/07/2006 Home    L *  63.21  53   65   3A   49 ( 5-16) Spirit Lake            -6.14     -5.86                      
 16 02/10/2006 Home    L *  78.50  46   47   3A   40 ( 6-16) Cherokee Washington     9.15    -10.15                      
 17 02/11/2006 Home    L    53.68  38   63   2A   45 (15- 9) Lake Mills            -15.67     -9.33                      
 18 02/14/2006 Away    L *  55.41  35   86   2A    2 (20- 4) Western Christian     -13.94 *  -37.06                      
 19 02/17/2006 Away    L *  74.15  57   83   2A    9 (19- 6) Sheldon                 4.80 *  -30.80                      
 20 02/21/2006 Home    L *  72.82  55   66   3A   25 (11-12) Storm Lake              3.47    -14.47                      
 21 02/24/2006 Home    L *  57.18  55   78   3A   37 ( 8-15) Spencer               -12.17    -10.83                      
 22 02/27/2006 Away    L    75.86  56   88   3A    2 (24- 3) MOC-Floyd Valley        6.51 *  -38.51                      
      Averages              69.35  49.2 68.8

Best game:   95.61 = 7 point loss to Hull Western Christian
Worst game:  53.68 = 25 point loss to Lake Mills
Team stdev:  10.83